Oscar race after the shortlists with Feinberg Forecast.

The executive awards editor of The Hollywood Reporter evaluates each of the 23 categories.

Best Picture: Top Picks

  • Universal Oppenheimer
  • Warner Bros. Barbie
  • Assassins of the Apple Flower Moon
  • Misery (Searchlight)
  • MGM/Amazon: American Fiction
  • The Remainders (Main)
  • Netflix’s Maestro
  • Previous Lives (A24)
  • Neon Anatomy of a Fall
  • The Interest Zone (A24)
  • Significant Dangers
  • Netflix’s Society of the Snow
  • Sony Pictures’ Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
  • Netflix, May December
  • Warner Bros. presents The Color Purple.

Opportunities

  • Saltburn (MGM / Amazon)
  • Air (MGM/Amazon)
  • Neon Ferrari
  • Searchlight: All of Us Strangers
  • The beginning (Neon)

Top Directors in the Field

  • Oppenheimer Christopher Nolan
  • Barbie’s Greta Gerwig — podcast
  • Martin Scorsese (The Flower Moon Killers)
  • “Poor Things” by Yorgos Lanthimos
  • Zone of Interest by Jonathan Glazer

Significant Dangers

  • The Holdovers’ Alexander Payne, number six
  • Master Bradley Cooper
  • “Past Lives” by Celine
  • The American fiction book Cord Jefferson
  • The Anatomy of a Fall by Justine Triet
  • The Society of the Snow’s J.A. Bayona

Opportunities

  • Todd Haynes podcast (May–December)
  • Saltburn’s Emerald Fennell
  • Blitz Bazawule (Primary Color)
    Michael Mann, the Ferrari player
  • “All of Us Strangers,” Andrew Haigh
  • Originator Ava DuVernay

Leading Actors for Best Actor

  • Paul Giamatti’s podcast, The Holdovers
  • Maestro Bradley Cooper
  • Oppenheimer’s Cillian Murphy
  • American fiction author Jeffrey Wright
  • The Killers of the Flower Moon star Leonardo DiCaprio

Significant Dangers

  • Rustin Colman Domingo
  • Andrew Scott (Everyone Else Here)
    Barry Keoghan, a Saltburn native.
  • Air’s Matt Damon

Opportunities

Dream Scenario with Nicolas Cage — podcast

  • The Passages of Franz Rogowski
  • The Zone of Interest by Christian Friedel
    Podcast: Adam Driver (Ferrari)

Front-runners for Best Actress

  • The podcast for Emma Stone (Poor Things)
  • Lily Gladstone (The Flower Moon Killers)
  • Margot Robbie, aka Barbie — audio
    Carey Mulligan (the maestro) — audio
    Anatomy of a Fall by Sandra Hüller, fifth place

Serious Risks

  • Nancy Bening (Annette)
  • Natalie Portman (December, May) — audio
  • Greta Lee (Personal History)
    The Color Purple, Fantasia Barrino, 9.
  • Helen Mirren, the Golden Girl — audio

Potentialities

  • Priscilla Cailee Spaeny
    Twelve. Alma Pöysti (Leavings)
  • The podcast featuring Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (Origin)
  • The Memory podcast with Jessica Chastain
    Leonie Benesch, “The Teacher’s Lounge,” 16.

Top Candidates for Best Supporting Actor

  • Bryan Gosling as Barbie
  • Oppenheimer’s Robert Downey Jr.
  • Poor Things’ Mark Ruffalo
  • Willem Dafoe (Bad Things) – audiobook
  • Charles Melton (December of May)

Serious Risks

  • The podcast featuring Robert De Niro (Killers of the Flower Moon)
  • Jesse Plemons (The Flower Moon Killers) — audio
  • The podcast featuring Sterling K. Brown (American Fiction)
    Dominic Sessa from The Holdovers, ninth

Potentialities

  • Paul Mescal, “Everyone Elsewhere”
    Chris Messina, the Air
  • Peter Sarsgaard (Confirmation)
  • Glenn Howerton, a Blackberry employee

Leading Actresses for Best Supporting

  • First up, The Holdovers’ Da’Vine Joy Randolph
  • Danielle Brooks, the star of The Color Purple
  • Jodie Foster (Nyad) – audio program
  • Julianne Moore (December, May) — audio
  • The podcast with Emily Blunt (Oppenheimer)

Serious Risks

  • Podcast: Rosamund Pike (Saltburn)
  • America Ferrera, a Barbie doll
  • The Zone of Interest by Sandra Hüller
    Erika Alexander, Author of American Fiction

Potentialities

  • The podcast with Penélope Cruz (Ferrari)
  • Taraji P. Henson — podcast including The Color Purple
  • Viola Davis in the Air
  • The podcast, Claire Foy (All of Us Strangers)

Frontrunners for Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Oppenheimer, the Christian Nolan
    The Second Bad Things (Tony McNamara)
  • Eric Roth and Martin Scorsese’s Killers of the Flower Moon
  • The American Novel (Cord Jefferson).
  • Dave Callaham, Phil Lord, and Chris Miller’s Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Serious Risks

  • Society of the Snow (Bernat Vilaplana, Jaime Marques, Nicolás Casariego, and J.A. Bayona)
  • Andrew Haigh’s song “All of Us Strangers”
  • According to Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest
  • Hey, God, are you there? It’s me, Margaret. Kathleen Fremon Craig

Potentialities

  • Priscilla (Castellone, Sofia)
    Marcus Gardley’s “The Color Purple” 11.
    Monster by Yiju Sakamoto (12)

Frontrunners for Best Original Screenplay

  • Barbie — podcast featuring Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach (Gerwig)
  • Caroline’s song “Past Lives”
  • David Hemingson’s Holdovers
  • Arthur Harari and Justine Triet’s Anatomy of a Fall
  • Josh Singer and Bradley Cooper as Maestro

Serious Risks

  • Alex Mechanik and Samy Burch, May December
  • Saltburn (Fennell, Emerald)
  • Alex Convery’s Air
  • Asteroid City (Roman Coppola and Wes Anderson)

Potentialities

  • Julian Breece and Dustin Lance Black, aka Rustin
    Eleventh (Ava DuVernay) Origin
  • Kristoffer Borgli’s Dream Scenario
  • The Son of Flora (John Carney)

Leading International Feature Films

First, the Zone of Interest (UK)

  • The Snow Society in Spain
  • Things Tasted (France)
  • Tunisia’s Four Girls
    The Teacher’s Lounge (German language)

Serious Risks

  • Japanese title: Perfect Days
  • A 20-Day Visit to Mariupol, Ukraine

Front-runners for Best Documentary Feature

Firstly, American Symphony on Netflix

  • Still: An Podcast: Michael J. Fox Movie (Apple) — Davis Guggenheim
  • Roadside: Exceeding Utopia
  • 20 Mariupol Days (PBS)
    Kino Lorber’s Four Daughters: 5.
  • Not Yet Able to Call Iceland “Godland”
    Mexican Totem
    Me, Capitano (Italy)
    Finland’s Fallen Leaves
    Danish land, the Promised Land
    The Mother (Morocco) of All Lies
    Armenia, or America
    Bhutan’s Monk and the Gun

Serious Risks

Bobi Wine (Nat Geo): The President of the People

MTV, or Eternal Memory Roger Ross Williams’ podcast, Stamped from the Beginning (Netflix)
In search of a U.S. distribution, 9. To Kill a Tiger

  • Not Enabled to Call 32 Sounds (Abramorama)
  • “Apolonia, Apolonia” (still looking for distribution in the US)
  • The Legend of Midnight Cowboy (Kino Lorber/Zeitgeist) and Desperate Souls in Dark City
  • Mars Traveling: The Nikki Giovanni Initiative (HBO)
  • View from the Back (Movie Movement)
  • Abramorama: A Quiet Little Voice

Frontrunners for Best Animated Features

  • First up, Sony’s Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
  • The GKIDS story “The Boy and the Heron”
  • The podcast Elemental (Pixar) with Pete Docter
  • Netflix’s Nimona
  • Super Mario Bros. Movie (Extra Light)

Serious Risks

  • Paramount’s Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem
  • Chicken Run: Nugget’s Dawn (Netflix)
  • Leo from Netflix
  • Wish (Disney)
  • Sony Classics: They Shot the Pianist

Too Soon to Say “Amazing” Viva, Maurice.

Submerged (Viva)
GKIDS: Ernest and Celestine: A Visit to Gibbertia
GKIDS: The First Slam Dunk
Migration (Lighting)
Neon Dreams of a Robot
Put an end to motion (IFC)
Suzume (Tokyo)
DreamWorks’ “Trolls Band Together”

Best Cinematography: Top Picks

  • Hoyte van Hoytema, Oppenheimer
  • Rodrigo Prieto’s Killers of the Flower Moon
  • Robbie Ryan’s “Poor Things”
  • Rodrigo Prieto’s Barbie
  • Matthew Libatique, the maestro

Significant Dangers

  • Linus Sandgren’s Saltburn
  • The Interest Zone (Łukasz żal)
  • The Dan Laustsen book The Color Purple
  • The Snow Society (Pedro Luque)
  • Erik Messerschmidt’s Ferrari
  • Dariusz Wolski’s Napoleon
  • Shabier Kirchner’s Past Lives.

Opportunities

Christopher Blauvelt, May December
The Taste of Things, written by Jonathan Ricquebourg, 14. Eigil Byrid’s Holdovers

  • Jamie D. Ramsay’s All of Us Strangers
  • Robert Richardson’s Air
  • Erik Messerschmidt, The Killer
  • Ed Lachman’s El Conde

Frontrunners for Best Costume Design

  • Barbie, also known as Jacqueline Durran
  • Holly Waddington’s “Poor Things,” second
  • Stephanie West’s novel, Killers of the Flower Moon
  • Francine Jamison-Tanchuck’s Shades of Purple
  • Lindy Hemming’s Wonka.

Big Risks

  • Napoleon (David Yates & Janty Crossman).
    Steph (Stacey Battat) 7. Priscilla
    Eighth, Maestro (Mark Bridges)
    Oppenheimer (Ellen Mirojnick, number nine)
    Colleen Atwood, “The Little Mermaid”
    Eleven: God, are you there? I am it. Margaret Ann Roth

Potentials

  • Massimo Cantini Parrini, who drives Ferrari
  • Milan Canonero, also known as Asteroid City
  • Saltburn / Sophie Canale
  • Leslie James, aka Rustin,
    Maria Estela Fernández, better known as Cassandro,
  • The song “The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes” from The Hunger Games by Josh Summerville

Top Runners for Best Film Editing
Oppenheimer, or Jennifer Lame, first

Thelma Schoonmaker’s Killers of the Flower Moon

  • Yorkopsaridis’s “Poor Things”
    Nick Houy’s Barbie, fourth
    The Fifth Maestro, Michelle Tesoro

Jar Movie reproducing the article published in article Credit The Hollywood Repot.

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